According to Lookonchain, a newly created wallet placed a USD 7,000 wager on Polymarket on the market titled “Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Jan 31” at 13 percent odds, with the address shown at polymarket.com/0x4128Be7113DBca57DD75e7CD2cd508Dd9FEDdC3c (Source: Lookonchain on X, Jan 8, 2026). According to Lookonchain, if the market resolves Yes, the position would yield an estimated USD 48,200 profit, representing a 683 percent gain (Source: Lookonchain on X, Jan 8, 2026). According to Lookonchain, the wallet was created roughly one hour before placing the bet (Source: Lookonchain on X, Jan 8, 2026).